World is Falling Apart Thread (Locked forever)

[Erik_Twice]

Why doesn't the UK become the 53rd state and be done with it? We all know it's been America's little b*tch for decades now

#DeGaulleWasRight

Still, it's not a topic I like to joke about. There's a lot on stake.

[BoringSupreez]

A political scientist with a model that correctly predicts the result of every presidential election since 1912 (excluding 1960) predicts that there's a 97% Trump wins against Hillary if he's the nominee, 55-45. Chances against Bernie are 99% in favor of Trump.

No way to tell if it'll actually pan out that way, but I do think he's going to win. GOP turnout is significantly up compared to the last 2 cycles, while Democrat turnout is negative to a similar degree. The excitement is definitely on the GOP's side.

[prfsnl_gmr]

I know. Some people are practically falling over themselves to elect the equivalent of President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho.

[Pulsar_t]

The world won't change much if he wins, or Bernie or Hillary. The machinations are almost set in stone, and as much as I think Nassim Taleb is overrated, change is usually gradual unless you get a blackswan event every once in a while.

[prfsnl_gmr]

The world won't change much if he wins, or Bernie or Hillary.

I know. It will be personally embarrassing, however, and it will make me rethink the merits of representative democracy.

[mjmjr25]

Bernie, Ted, and Donald have as much chance of becoming president as any of us. I don't understand why any of us would waste this much time worrying / discussing the possibility.

You have 3 people who cater to 3 fringes of their party. None of them have more than 30% support of the entire populace. We would all do ourselves favors internally and internationally to point this out rather than qualify, defend, or be embarrassed by anything they say or do.

Hillary will beat Ted or Donald
Hillary vs Rubio would is a tossup.
Bernie would lose to Rubio.
Bernie vs Ted or Donald will yield a 3rd candidate, a Bloomberg or similar who would win.

[prfsnl_gmr]

Thank you! I think your comments are spot on and completely correct. My father was at one time a young republican, and he remains a republican to this day. There is absolutely no way he would ever vote for a Trump, however, and without the support of "normal" conservatives like him - and in the complete absence of cross over appeal - there is no way a a republican will win a national election. The demographics just don't support it.

[Pulsar_t]

[Nemoide]

I think Trump has a pretty good chance. Among lower income folks there's a lot of resentment against "the system" and for as much wealth and elite status Trump has, he's very effectively figured out how to tap into that resentment.

We're just about eight months away from election day, so we'll find out soon enough.

[Sarge]

To be honest, I don't know what a President Trump would govern like. He's all over the place. I don't think he's actually guided by a solid political ideology, unlike the other candidates. It's a crapshoot. The other thing I've learned with him is that you really can't take anything he says seriously. Will he build a wall? Who knows! Will he shut down the press (or attempt to)? Who knows! He's trying to build as broad a coalition as he can, and much like Pres. Obama in 2008, he's keeping a lot vague, letting folks project their hopes and dreams on him. A primary difference, there, though, is that Pres. Obama does have a staunch political ideology, he just isn't perceived in that way.