While divorce rate is 50%, that doesn't mean it is a 50% chance for every person. There are a number of factors that predict the success of a marriage. With enough protective factors and the absence of risk factors your chance of divorce significantly drops. To learn more about the research on this, you should look into the research of John Gottman. He can predict divorce with 90% accuracy.Inazuma wrote:Taking on a huge risk without any benefit is fucking stupid. What more can I say? You have the freedom to play Russian Roulette (or in this case a modified version where there are 3 bullets in the revolver) but doing so would be foolish.
The key four things that predict divorce (or commited relationship failure) can usually be seen in how they argue. If in an argument they are overly critical of your partner, to show contempt either verbally or nonverbally, to be overly defensive, and/or to stonewall. It's also important that they don't use insults that attribute mistakes or differences to character flaws-- it's like the difference between saying you did a stupid thing and you are stupid.
John Gottman was research faculty where I am at for graduate school, so I'm well acquainted with his research. I knew while getting married that the odds were in my favor. It wasn't 50/50. I also wouldn't equate divorce with a bullet to the brain.
I think you also fail to hear me when I explain that marriage has benefits. I feel a deeper sort of commitment to my partner having gone through a public display of our commitment before our friends and family. Could we have made up our own sort of ceremony that was not marriage? Yes, but it wouldn't have the same cultural weight. There are also somewhere in the range of 1400 legal rights that are bestowed upon for being married.
A quick google search provides some of them:
• joint parenting;
• joint adoption;
• joint foster care, custody, and visitation (including non-biological parents);
• status as next-of-kin for hospital visits and medical decisions where one partner is too ill to be competent;
• joint insurance policies for home, auto and health;
• dissolution and divorce protections such as community property and child support;
• immigration and residency for partners from other countries;
• inheritance automatically in the absence of a will;
• joint leases with automatic renewal rights in the event one partner dies or leaves the house or apartment;
• inheritance of jointly-owned real and personal property through the right of survivorship (which avoids the time and expense and taxes in probate);
• benefits such as annuities, pension plans, Social Security, and Medicare;
• spousal exemptions to property tax increases upon the death of one partner who is a co-owner of the home;
• veterans' discounts on medical care, education, and home loans; joint filing of tax returns;
• joint filing of customs claims when traveling;
• wrongful death benefits for a surviving partner and children;
• bereavement or sick leave to care for a partner or child;
• decision-making power with respect to whether a deceased partner will be cremated or not and where to bury him or her;
• crime victims' recovery benefits;
• loss of consortium tort benefits;
• domestic violence protection orders;
• judicial protections and evidentiary immunity;


